V-Lab
Tradr 2X Long WDC Daily ETF MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026
1 Day
293.12%
decreased by 10.79%
1 Week
292.11%
decreased by 11.80%
1 Month
288.48%
decreased by 15.43%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 17, 2026 at 09:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 27, 2026 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 38 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 38 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.32 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1019 | 2.61*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8799 | 117.84*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
38 days
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