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V-Lab

Global X Artfcl ITL & TCH IN MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

44.81%

increased by 9.38%

1 Week

45.27%

increased by 9.84%

1 Month

46.96%

increased by 11.53%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 09:33 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Global X Artfcl ITL & TCH IN MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 15, 2024 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, volatility shocks have a half-life of 130 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1233
4.66***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2951
10.79***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6996
60.92***

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

130 days