Skip to main content
V-Lab

Global X Artfcl ITL & TCH IN GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

34.24%

increased by 0.87%

1 Week

33.66%

increased by 0.29%

1 Month

31.89%

decreased by 1.48%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 09:04 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Global X Artfcl ITL & TCH IN GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 15, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 8.21 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.9565
6.26***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1103
6.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9515
137.34***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

8.2085
1.42

Persistence:

0.952

Half-life:

14 days