Global X Artfcl ITL & TCH IN GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
39.40%
decreased by 3.30%
1 Week
38.78%
decreased by 3.92%
1 Month
36.87%
decreased by 5.83%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 09:03 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 15, 2024 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 366% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1787 | 7.06*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0454 | 2.09** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8260 | 41.63*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1664 | 4.61*** |
Persistence:
0.955
Half-life:
15 days
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