V-Lab
Global X Artfcl ITL & TCH IN GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
35.97%
increased by 1.54%
1 Week
35.56%
increased by 1.13%
1 Month
34.30%
decreased by 0.13%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 09:03 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 15, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 355% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1788 | 7.49*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0454 | 2.21** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8271 | 44.83*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1612 | 4.74*** |
Persistence:
0.953
Half-life:
14 days
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