V-Lab
Global X Artfcl ITL & TCH IN GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
24.97%
decreased by 1.35%
1 Week
25.65%
decreased by 0.67%
1 Month
27.61%
increased by 1.29%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 01:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 15, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1809 | 7.16*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0345 | 2.09** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8286 | 45.66*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1856 | 6.51*** |
Persistence:
0.956
Half-life:
15 days
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