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V-Lab

Global X Artfcl ITL & TCH IN GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

35.97%

increased by 1.54%

1 Week

35.56%

increased by 1.13%

1 Month

34.30%

decreased by 0.13%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 09:03 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Global X Artfcl ITL & TCH IN GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 15, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 355% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1788
7.49***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0454
2.21**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8271
44.83***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1612
4.74***

Persistence:

0.953

Half-life:

14 days