Global X Artfcl ITL & TCH IN EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
40.06%
decreased by 2.02%
1 Week
38.98%
decreased by 3.10%
1 Month
36.16%
decreased by 5.92%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 09:33 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 15, 2024 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 158% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0735 | 10.19*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2042 | 10.19*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9445 | 123.52*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0902 | -3.64*** |
Persistence:
0.945
Half-life:
12 days
Other Global X Artfcl ITL & TCH IN Analyses
Other EGARCH Analyses on ETFs