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V-Lab

Global X Artfcl ITL & TCH IN GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

34.21%

decreased by 2.37%

1 Week

33.92%

decreased by 2.66%

1 Month

33.03%

decreased by 3.55%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 09:32 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Global X Artfcl ITL & TCH IN GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 15, 2024 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1535
8.46***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1325
12.94***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8258
83.92***

Persistence:

0.958

Half-life:

16 days