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V-Lab

Global X Artfcl ITL & TCH IN MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

38.08%

decreased by 0.25%

1 Week

38.88%

increased by 0.55%

1 Month

40.10%

increased by 1.77%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 01:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Global X Artfcl ITL & TCH IN MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 15, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

96
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6447
6.13***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0712
1.16
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1362
0.20
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1537
0.21
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8463
1.19

Persistence:

0.680

Half-life:

2 days