Skip to main content
V-Lab

Global X Artfcl ITL & TCH IN AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

36.52%

decreased by 3.50%

1 Week

36.12%

decreased by 3.90%

1 Month

34.95%

decreased by 5.07%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 09:33 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Global X Artfcl ITL & TCH IN AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 15, 2024 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.51) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1807
6.91***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1608
12.44***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7856
54.62***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5087
7.70***

Persistence:

0.946

Half-life:

13 days