Skip to main content
V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long NIO Daily ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

90.02%

increased by 0.39%

1 Week

99.25%

increased by 9.62%

1 Month

105.64%

increased by 16.01%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long NIO Daily ETF AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = -2.77) so that positive returns raise next-day volatility more than negative returns of the same size. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and rare among risky assets.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

15.0000
13.11***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1409
6.83***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5111
32.41***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-2.7728
-2.72***

Persistence:

0.652

Half-life:

2 days