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V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long NIO Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

107.46%

increased by 0.02%

1 Week

107.99%

increased by 0.55%

1 Month

109.27%

increased by 1.83%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long NIO Daily ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.8311
1.18
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0249
0.74
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9092
13.00***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0249
-0.72

Persistence:

0.922

Half-life:

9 days