Leverage Shares 2X Long NIO Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
107.46%
increased by 0.02%
1 Week
107.99%
increased by 0.55%
1 Month
109.27%
increased by 1.83%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 18, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.8311 | 1.18 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0249 | 0.74 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9092 | 13.00*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0249 | -0.72 |
Persistence:
0.922
Half-life:
9 days
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