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V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long NIO Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

83.57%

decreased by 0.99%

1 Week

84.73%

increased by 0.17%

1 Month

88.42%

increased by 3.86%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long NIO Daily ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 21-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2837
0.89
αARCH0.0734
1.11
βGARCH0.9315
18.58***
γleverage-0.0734
-0.84

0.968

Persistence

21d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2837
0.89
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0734
1.11
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9315
18.58***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0734
-0.84

Persistence:

0.968

Half-life:

21 days