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V-Lab

Global X Gold Yield ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

23.73%

decreased by 0.44%

1 Week

23.69%

decreased by 0.48%

1 Month

23.53%

decreased by 0.64%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 09:21 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Global X Gold Yield ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 20, 2010 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 122 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0088
5.35***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0589
7.07***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9420
159.08***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0133
-1.10

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

122 days