Skip to main content
V-Lab

Global X Gold Yield ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

26.61%

decreased by 0.31%

1 Week

26.54%

decreased by 0.38%

1 Month

26.29%

decreased by 0.63%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 09:07 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Global X Gold Yield ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 20, 2010 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 125 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0087
5.30***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0588
7.07***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9422
159.61***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0131
-1.08

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

125 days