Leverage Shares 2X Long NIO Daily ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026
1 Day
113.51%
decreased by 0.21%
1 Week
113.43%
decreased by 0.29%
1 Month
114.96%
increased by 1.24%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 18, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 91 | |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| γleverage | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 4.1953 | 2.55** |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.1480 | 3.44*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.8520 | 15.52*** |
0.000
Persistence0d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 91 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 4.1953 | 2.55** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1480 | 3.44*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8520 | 15.52*** |
Persistence:
0.000
Half-life:
0 days
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