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V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long NIO Daily ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

82.32%

decreased by 6.84%

1 Week

1,955,755.60%

increased by 1,955,666.44%

1 Month

7,533,396,843,390,105,000,000,000.00%

increased by 7,533,396,843,390,105,000,000,000.00%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 02:20 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long NIO Daily ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.03
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7856
2,072.75***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.3128
166.37***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8771
46.46***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0007
0.03

Persistence:

0.942

Half-life:

12 days