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V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long NIO Daily ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

63.08%

increased by 0.39%

1 Week

62.92%

increased by 0.23%

1 Month

60.93%

decreased by 1.76%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long NIO Daily ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.01
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1920
3.52***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6319
3.62***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0234
0.07

Persistence:

0.096

Half-life:

0 days