V-Lab
Leverage Shares 2X Long NIO Daily ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
82.32%
decreased by 6.84%
1 Week
1,955,755.60%
increased by 1,955,666.44%
1 Month
7,533,396,843,390,105,000,000,000.00%
increased by 7,533,396,843,390,105,000,000,000.00%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 02:20 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 18, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.03 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7856 | 2,072.75*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.3128 | 166.37*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.8771 | 46.46*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0007 | 0.03 |
Persistence:
0.942
Half-life:
12 days
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