V-Lab
Vaneck Emerging Market B ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
2.87%
decreased by 0.19%
1 Week
78,660.00%
increased by 78,656.94%
1 Month
532,864,860,916,912,000,000,000.00%
increased by 532,864,860,916,912,000,000,000.00%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 02:23 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 6, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.02 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4311 | 85.47*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1237 | 2.27** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.14 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2697 | 2.42** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
Persistence:
0.493
Half-life:
1 days
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