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V-Lab

Vaneck Emerging Market B ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

2.87%

decreased by 0.19%

1 Week

78,660.00%

increased by 78,656.94%

1 Month

532,864,860,916,912,000,000,000.00%

increased by 532,864,860,916,912,000,000,000.00%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 02:23 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Vaneck Emerging Market B ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 6, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.02
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4311
85.47***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1237
2.27**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.14
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2697
2.42**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.01

Persistence:

0.493

Half-life:

1 days