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TDAQ Lift ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

71.34%

increased by 13.71%

1 Week

69.88%

increased by 12.25%

1 Month

79.25%

increased by 21.62%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 03:17 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

All

graph of TDAQ Lift ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 7, 2026 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.5000
16.97***
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
γleverage-0.5000
-7.84***
λ₁tau intercept2.5281
3.31***
λ₂forecast adj.0.2584
1.72*
λ₃tau persistence0.7416
8.01***

0.250

Persistence

1d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5000
16.97***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5000
-7.84***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.5281
3.31***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2584
1.72*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7416
8.01***

Persistence:

0.250

Half-life:

1 days