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V-Lab

TDAQ Lift ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

22.65%

decreased by 0.61%

1 Week

22.65%

decreased by 0.61%

1 Month

22.65%

decreased by 0.61%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of TDAQ Lift ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 7, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.01
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8571
624.74***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2857
96.10***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

3.1607
1,426.93***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-