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TDAQ Lift ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

18.92%

decreased by 0.34%

1 Week

19.08%

decreased by 0.18%

1 Month

19.34%

increased by 0.08%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of TDAQ Lift ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 7, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 1-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow36
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.3973
0.00
γleverage0.0000
0.00
λ₁tau intercept0.0000
0.00
λ₂forecast adj.0.7736
39.04***
λ₃tau persistence0.2264
11.83***

0.397

Persistence

1d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

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ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3973
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0000
0.00
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7736
39.04***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.2264
11.83***

Persistence:

0.397

Half-life:

1 days