V-Lab
TDAQ Lift ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
22.65%
decreased by 0.61%
1 Week
22.65%
decreased by 0.61%
1 Month
22.65%
decreased by 0.61%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 7, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.
Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8571 | 624.74*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2857 | 96.10*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.1607 | 1,426.93*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
-
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