TDAQ Lift ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026
1 Day
38.31%
increased by 2.03%
1 Week
37.10%
increased by 0.82%
1 Month
33.82%
decreased by 2.46%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 03:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 7, 2026 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 10.54 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 9-day half-lifev = 10.54 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωlong-run | 3.1570 | 0.66 |
| αscore | 0.0619 | 0.45 |
| βpersistence | 0.9265 | 3.18*** |
| νDF | 10.5394 | 0.05 |
0.926
Persistence9d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω long-run Long-run variance given a price move | 3.1570 | 0.66 |
α score Weight on the scaled score | 0.0619 | 0.45 |
β persistence Volatility persistence | 0.9265 | 3.18*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 10.5394 | 0.05 |
Persistence:
0.926
Half-life:
9 days
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