Skip to main content
V-Lab

TDAQ Lift ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

29.28%

decreased by 0.44%

1 Week

29.17%

decreased by 0.55%

1 Month

28.84%

decreased by 0.88%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of TDAQ Lift ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 7, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 76.53 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.0993
12.83***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0296
0.72
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9565
7.04***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

76.5274
0.02

Persistence:

0.956

Half-life:

16 days