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TDAQ Lift ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

38.31%

increased by 2.03%

1 Week

37.10%

increased by 0.82%

1 Month

33.82%

decreased by 2.46%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 03:17 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

All

graph of TDAQ Lift ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 7, 2026 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 10.54 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 9-day half-lifev = 10.54 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run3.1570
0.66
αscore0.0619
0.45
βpersistence0.9265
3.18***
νDF10.5394
0.05

0.926

Persistence

9d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

3.1570
0.66
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.0619
0.45
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9265
3.18***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

10.5394
0.05

Persistence:

0.926

Half-life:

9 days