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V-Lab

TDAQ Lift ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

29.47%

increased by 0.76%

1 Week

29.20%

increased by 0.49%

1 Month

28.49%

decreased by 0.22%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of TDAQ Lift ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 7, 2026 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 44.00 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.9852
14.96***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0371
1.06
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9249
5.74***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

43.9973
0.03

Persistence:

0.925

Half-life:

9 days