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V-Lab

Betapro S&P/Tsx CP FN 2X BUL GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

30.19%

decreased by 0.78%

1 Week

30.25%

decreased by 0.72%

1 Month

30.47%

decreased by 0.50%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 09:20 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

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2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Betapro S&P/Tsx CP FN 2X BUL GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 12, 2007 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 42 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 42 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 9.44 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.0638
8.35***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1064
29.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9836
437.73***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

9.4442
4.51***

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

42 days