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Betapro S&P/Tsx CP FN 2X BUL GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 29th, 2026

1 Day

30.33%

decreased by 1.97%

1 Week

30.39%

decreased by 1.91%

1 Month

30.60%

decreased by 1.70%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:04 AM UTC

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graph of Betapro S&P/Tsx CP FN 2X BUL GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 12, 2007 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 42 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 42 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 9.33 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 42-day half-lifev = 9.33 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst4.0960
2.07**
αARCH0.1056
7.43***
βGARCH0.9838
110.64***
νDF9.3285
1.15

0.984

Persistence

42d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.0960
2.07**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1056
7.43***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9838
110.64***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

9.3285
1.15

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

42 days