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V-Lab

Betapro S&P/Tsx CP FN 2X BUL GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

26.21%

increased by 2.66%

1 Week

26.42%

increased by 2.87%

1 Month

27.15%

increased by 3.60%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:03 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

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2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Betapro S&P/Tsx CP FN 2X BUL GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 12, 2007 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 41 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 41 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 9.30 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.0472
8.29***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1065
29.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9834
430.92***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

9.3012
4.59***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

41 days