Skip to main content
V-Lab

Betapro S&P/Tsx CP FN 2X BUL GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

25.93%

decreased by 1.19%

1 Week

26.15%

decreased by 0.97%

1 Month

26.92%

decreased by 0.20%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:05 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Betapro S&P/Tsx CP FN 2X BUL GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 12, 2007 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 42 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 42 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 9.33 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.0727
8.24***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1063
29.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9836
433.68***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

9.3337
4.57***

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

42 days