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Betapro S&P/Tsx CP FN 2X BUL GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

34.23%

decreased by 2.26%

1 Week

34.17%

decreased by 2.32%

1 Month

33.93%

decreased by 2.56%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 09:06 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Betapro S&P/Tsx CP FN 2X BUL GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 12, 2007 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 42 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 42 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 9.29 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 42-day half-lifev = 9.29 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst4.1034
2.06**
αARCH0.1058
7.44***
βGARCH0.9838
110.23***
νDF9.2853
1.16

0.984

Persistence

42d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.1034
2.06**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1058
7.44***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9838
110.23***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

9.2853
1.16

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

42 days