V-Lab
Betapro S&P/Tsx CP FN 2X BUL MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
33.08%
increased by 2.46%
1 Week
33.22%
increased by 2.60%
1 Month
33.82%
increased by 3.20%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:03 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 12, 2007 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8785 | 322.38*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1659 | 43.73*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0499 | 8.39*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0799 | 17.76*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9058 | 164.42*** |
Persistence:
0.961
Half-life:
18 days
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