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V-Lab

Betapro S&P/Tsx CP FN 2X BUL MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

35.18%

decreased by 1.61%

1 Week

35.12%

decreased by 1.67%

1 Month

35.19%

decreased by 1.60%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 09:05 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Betapro S&P/Tsx CP FN 2X BUL MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 12, 2007 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow71
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.8792
90.10***
γleverage0.1650
9.98***
λ₁tau intercept0.0491
1.57
λ₂forecast adj.0.0792
2.41**
λ₃tau persistence0.9067
24.25***

0.962

Persistence

18d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

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ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8792
90.10***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1650
9.98***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0491
1.57
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0792
2.41**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9067
24.25***

Persistence:

0.962

Half-life:

18 days