V-Lab
Betapro S&P/Tsx CP FN 2X BUL MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
32.89%
decreased by 1.40%
1 Week
33.10%
decreased by 1.19%
1 Month
34.00%
decreased by 0.29%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 09:20 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 12, 2007 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8787 | 322.81*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1661 | 43.77*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0497 | 8.42*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0791 | 17.82*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9066 | 166.87*** |
Persistence:
0.962
Half-life:
18 days
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