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Betapro S&P/Tsx CP FN 2X BUL Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

32.46%

decreased by 1.02%

1 Week

32.48%

decreased by 1.00%

1 Month

32.55%

decreased by 0.93%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 09:04 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Betapro S&P/Tsx CP FN 2X BUL S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 12, 2007 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 30 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.3545
7.43***
αARCH0.1181
7.81***
βGARCH0.8588
57.32***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ10.0164
3.66***
γ2-0.0192
-3.27***

0.977

Persistence

30d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3545
7.43***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1181
7.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8588
57.32***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ10.0164
3.66***
γ2-0.0192
-3.27***

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

30 days