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V-Lab

Betapro S&P/Tsx CP FN 2X BUL Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

29.87%

decreased by 0.90%

1 Week

29.99%

decreased by 0.78%

1 Month

30.42%

decreased by 0.35%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 09:20 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Betapro S&P/Tsx CP FN 2X BUL S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 12, 2007 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 29 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3495
7.44***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1190
7.80***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8574
56.63***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ10.0162
3.57***
γ2-0.0188
-3.17***

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

29 days