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Betapro S&P/Tsx CP FN 2X BUL GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

29.03%

increased by 0.78%

1 Week

29.12%

increased by 0.87%

1 Month

29.42%

increased by 1.17%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Betapro S&P/Tsx CP FN 2X BUL GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 12, 2007 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0655
4.40***
αARCH0.0114
1.18
βGARCH0.8983
100.55***
γleverage0.1475
5.30***

0.983

Persistence

41d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0655
4.40***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0114
1.18
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8983
100.55***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1475
5.30***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

41 days