V-Lab
Betapro S&P/Tsx CP FN 2X BUL GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
34.63%
decreased by 1.57%
1 Week
34.54%
decreased by 1.66%
1 Month
34.19%
decreased by 2.01%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 09:03 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 12, 2007 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0658 | 4.41*** |
| αARCH | 0.0117 | 1.20 |
| βGARCH | 0.8977 | 100.00*** |
| γleverage | 0.1480 | 5.29*** |
0.983
Persistence41d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0658 | 4.41*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0117 | 1.20 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8977 | 100.00*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1480 | 5.29*** |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
41 days
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