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Betapro S&P/Tsx CP FN 2X BUL GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026

1 Day

29.48%

decreased by 0.41%

1 Week

29.55%

decreased by 0.34%

1 Month

29.79%

decreased by 0.10%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 09:18 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/05/2024

to

10/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Betapro S&P/Tsx CP FN 2X BUL GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 12, 2007 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0659
4.42***
αARCH0.0118
1.22
βGARCH0.8977
100.03***
γleverage0.1475
5.27***

0.983

Persistence

41d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0659
4.42***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0118
1.22
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8977
100.03***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1475
5.27***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

41 days