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V-Lab

Betapro S&P/Tsx CP FN 2X BUL GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

31.35%

increased by 2.49%

1 Week

31.36%

increased by 2.50%

1 Month

31.39%

increased by 2.53%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:03 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Betapro S&P/Tsx CP FN 2X BUL GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 12, 2007 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0663
17.71***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0122
5.00***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8969
396.66***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1484
20.98***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

41 days