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V-Lab

Ninepoint Barrick Hghshs ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

52.64%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

52.64%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

52.64%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 08:56 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Ninepoint Barrick Hghshs ETF S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 22, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0409
4.20***
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9077
4.63***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0710
0.16

0.908

Persistence

7d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0409
4.20***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9077
4.63***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0710
0.16

Persistence:

0.908

Half-life:

7 days