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V-Lab

Ninepoint Barrick Hghshs ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

16.88%

decreased by 4.41%

1 Week

5,525,667,416.70%

increased by 5,525,667,395.41%

1 Month

773,254,447,125,912,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%

increased by 773,254,447,125,912,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 09:03 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Ninepoint Barrick Hghshs ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 22, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4132
24.76***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6125
553.78***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.4132
-24.76***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.17
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0096
24.94***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0132
33.40***

Persistence:

0.819

Half-life:

3 days