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V-Lab

Ninepoint Barrick Hghshs ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

17.65%

decreased by 0.53%

1 Week

5,266,534,443.07%

increased by 5,266,534,424.89%

1 Month

509,205,734,453,177,600,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%

increased by 509,205,734,453,177,600,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 08:56 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Ninepoint Barrick Hghshs ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 22, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow61
αARCH0.0000
βGARCH0.6366
1,649.29***
γleverage0.5000
1,445.09***
λ₁tau intercept0.0000
0.50
λ₂forecast adj.0.0152
82.06***
λ₃tau persistence0.0230
574.88***

0.887

Persistence

6d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

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ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6366
1,649.29***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
1,445.09***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.50
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0152
82.06***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0230
574.88***

Persistence:

0.887

Half-life:

6 days