Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Ninepoint Barrick Hghshs ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

52.81%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

52.81%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

52.81%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 09:59 AM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Ninepoint Barrick Hghshs ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 22, 2025 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 49 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 49 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.04 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 49-day half-lifev = 6.04 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run11.3411
0.47
αscore0.0000
0.00
βpersistence0.9860
3.72***
νDF6.0373
0.17

0.986

Persistence

49d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

11.3411
0.47
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.0000
0.00
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9860
3.72***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.0373
0.17

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

49 days