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V-Lab

Ninepoint Barrick Hghshs ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

51.91%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

51.91%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

51.91%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 08:58 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Ninepoint Barrick Hghshs ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 22, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026
Hessian SE

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 40 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 40 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.69 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 40-day half-lifev = 5.69 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst10.6911
0.45
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9830
4.60***
νDF5.6895
0.17

0.983

Persistence

40d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

10.6911
0.45
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9830
4.60***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.6895
0.17

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

40 days