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Ninepoint Barrick Hghshs ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

53.31%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

53.31%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

53.31%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 08:56 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Ninepoint Barrick Hghshs ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 22, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026
Hessian SE

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 52 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 52 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.41 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 52-day half-lifev = 5.41 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst11.2779
0.43
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9869
2.88***
νDF5.4131
0.18

0.987

Persistence

52d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

11.2779
0.43
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9869
2.88***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.4131
0.18

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

52 days