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Ninepoint Barrick Hghshs ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

53.52%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

53.52%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

53.52%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 08:56 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Ninepoint Barrick Hghshs ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 22, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026
Hessian SE

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1449
0.04
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.8993
0.26
γleverage0.0000
0.00

0.899

Persistence

7d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1449
0.04
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8993
0.26
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.899

Half-life:

7 days