V-Lab
Ninepoint Barrick Hghshs ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 29th, 2026
1 Day
52.62%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
52.62%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
52.62%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 08:57 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 22, 2025 to Sep 28, 2026Hessian SE
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.1170 | 0.03 |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.8983 | 0.22 |
| γleverage | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
0.898
Persistence6d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1170 | 0.03 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8983 | 0.22 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.898
Half-life:
6 days
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