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V-Lab

Grayscale Avalanche Staking ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

52.84%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

52.84%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

52.84%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Grayscale Avalanche Staking ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 12, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 48 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 48 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 7.26 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

11.0795
0.25
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9857
0.60
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

7.2642
0.14

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

48 days