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V-Lab

Grayscale Avalanche Staking ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

63.33%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

63.33%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

63.33%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 02:18 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Grayscale Avalanche Staking ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 12, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.83 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

15.9168
0.39
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9124
0.88
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.8346
0.17

Persistence:

0.912

Half-life:

8 days