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Grayscale Avalanche Staking ETF MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

64.90%

increased by 2.89%

1 Week

64.80%

increased by 2.79%

1 Month

64.42%

increased by 2.41%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:05 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Grayscale Avalanche Staking ETF MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 12, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 84 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.992, shock half-life ~84 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1118
0.37
αARCH0.2204
1.30
βGARCH0.7714
7.12***

0.992

Persistence

84d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1118
0.37
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2204
1.30
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7714
7.12***

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

84 days