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V-Lab

VanEck Solana ETF MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

71.11%

increased by 2.39%

1 Week

79.11%

increased by 10.39%

1 Month

97.97%

increased by 29.25%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:31 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of VanEck Solana ETF MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 17, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.6774
2.56**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3301
7.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6124
28.01***

Persistence:

0.943

Half-life:

12 days