V-Lab
VanEck Solana ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
70.85%
decreased by 7.27%
1 Week
72.15%
decreased by 5.97%
1 Month
76.21%
decreased by 1.91%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 17, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 9.52 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 31.4600 | 3.45*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1612 | 6.60*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9669 | 96.74*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 9.5244 | 0.91 |
Persistence:
0.967
Half-life:
21 days
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