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VanEck Solana ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

70.85%

decreased by 7.27%

1 Week

72.15%

decreased by 5.97%

1 Month

76.21%

decreased by 1.91%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of VanEck Solana ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 17, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 9.52 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

31.4600
3.45***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1612
6.60***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9669
96.74***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

9.5244
0.91

Persistence:

0.967

Half-life:

21 days