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VanEck Solana ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

53.62%

decreased by 4.59%

1 Week

56.50%

decreased by 1.71%

1 Month

63.62%

increased by 5.41%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:16 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

All

graph of VanEck Solana ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 17, 2025 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.51 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-lifev = 6.51 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run22.1779
0.75
αscore0.1314
1.21
βpersistence0.9373
11.28***
νDF6.5112
0.26

0.937

Persistence

11d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

22.1779
0.75
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1314
1.21
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9373
11.28***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.5112
0.26

Persistence:

0.937

Half-life:

11 days