V-Lab
VanEck Solana ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
44.96%
decreased by 0.18%
1 Week
47.83%
increased by 2.69%
1 Month
54.37%
increased by 9.23%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 17, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1761 | 3.35*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8463 | 34.34*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1565 | 4.18*** |
Persistence:
0.925
Half-life:
9 days
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