VanEck Solana ETF GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
55.57%
increased by 0.79%
1 Week
57.71%
increased by 2.93%
1 Month
62.80%
increased by 8.02%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 17, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4247 | 4.19*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1105 | 6.92*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8155 | 30.47*** |
Persistence:
0.926
Half-life:
9 days
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