VanEck Solana ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
15.13%
decreased by 1.87%
1 Week
3,818,709,132.68%
increased by 3,818,709,115.68%
1 Month
188,812,573,733,848,560,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%
increased by 188,812,573,733,848,560,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 17, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.11 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 3.33*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.3305 | 11.83*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0773 | 12.95*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.26 |
Persistence:
0.165
Half-life:
0 days
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