V-Lab
VanEck Solana ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026
1 Day
65.37%
increased by 9.59%
1 Week
65.74%
increased by 9.96%
1 Month
66.49%
increased by 10.71%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:38 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 17, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.3277 | 1.34 |
| αARCH | 0.2674 | 2.24** |
| βGARCH | 0.8864 | 10.99*** |
| γleverage | -0.0603 | -0.44 |
0.886
Persistence6d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3277 | 1.34 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2674 | 2.24** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8864 | 10.99*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0603 | -0.44 |
Persistence:
0.886
Half-life:
6 days
Other VanEck Solana ETF Analyses
Other EGARCH Analyses on ETFs