V-Lab
Monarch Blue Chips Elite Index ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
19.12%
decreased by 1.48%
1 Week
19.00%
decreased by 1.60%
1 Month
18.62%
decreased by 1.98%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 24, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0075 | 0.91 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1746 | 13.97*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9617 | 258.31*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1711 | -21.46*** |
Persistence:
0.962
Half-life:
18 days
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