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V-Lab

Monarch Blue Chips Elite Index ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

19.12%

decreased by 1.48%

1 Week

19.00%

decreased by 1.60%

1 Month

18.62%

decreased by 1.98%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Monarch Blue Chips Elite Index ETF EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 24, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0075
0.91
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1746
13.97***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9617
258.31***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1711
-21.46***

Persistence:

0.962

Half-life:

18 days