Leverage Shares 2x Long IREN Daily ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
208.23%
decreased by 9.74%
1 Week
206.88%
decreased by 11.09%
1 Month
205.92%
decreased by 12.05%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 16, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
The leverage effect is captured by the negative gamma (gamma = -0.1208), confirming that negative shocks increase volatility more than positive shocks of equal magnitude.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.8538 | 3.95*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1081 | 3.04*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6381 | 6.84*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1208 | -4.63*** |
Persistence:
0.638
Half-life:
2 days
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