Leverage Shares 2x Long IREN Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
205.31%
decreased by 0.60%
1 Week
205.48%
decreased by 0.43%
1 Month
206.10%
increased by 0.19%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 16, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 38 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 38 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.1651 | 0.13 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0133 | 0.34 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9753 | 6.48*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0133 | -0.32 |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
38 days
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