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V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2x Long IREN Daily ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

294.82%

increased by 92.34%

1 Week

283.86%

increased by 81.38%

1 Month

279.72%

increased by 77.24%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2x Long IREN Daily ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 16, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4455
93.65***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
71.15***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

4.4085
0.09
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0338
0.36
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9662
3.10***

Persistence:

0.696

Half-life:

2 days