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V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2x Long IREN Daily ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

112.44%

decreased by 93.45%

1 Week

60,922,737,824,231.11%

increased by 60,922,737,824,025.22%

1 Month

64,062,104,242,680,020,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%

increased by 64,062,104,242,680,020,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2x Long IREN Daily ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 16, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 116% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4292
108.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
60.72***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8939
61.26***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.01

Persistence:

0.679

Half-life:

2 days