Leverage Shares 2x Long IREN Daily ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
112.44%
1 Week
60,922,737,824,231.11%
1 Month
64,062,104,242,680,020,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 16, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 116% more than equivalent positive returns.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4292 | 108.04*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 60.72*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.8939 | 61.26*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
Persistence:
0.679
Half-life:
2 days
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