V-Lab
Leverage Shares 2x Long IREN Daily ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
294.82%
increased by 92.34%
1 Week
283.86%
increased by 81.38%
1 Month
279.72%
increased by 77.24%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 16, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4455 | 93.65*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 71.15*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 4.4085 | 0.09 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0338 | 0.36 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9662 | 3.10*** |
Persistence:
0.696
Half-life:
2 days
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