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V-Lab

iShares Russell 3000 ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

12.95%

decreased by 0.45%

1 Week

13.25%

decreased by 0.15%

1 Month

14.13%

increased by 0.73%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares Russell 3000 ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 29, 2000 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8408
232.64***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2074
44.46***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0267
5.39***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1312
6.69***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8435
35.62***

Persistence:

0.944

Half-life:

12 days