V-Lab
iShares Russell 3000 ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
11.53%
decreased by 0.19%
1 Week
11.84%
increased by 0.12%
1 Month
12.88%
increased by 1.16%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 29, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 30 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 30 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0269 | 16.96*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8854 | 339.37*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1840 | 26.05*** |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
30 days
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