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V-Lab

iShares Russell 3000 ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

11.70%

decreased by 0.65%

1 Week

11.95%

decreased by 0.40%

1 Month

12.83%

increased by 0.48%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares Russell 3000 ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 29, 2000 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 54 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 54 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 7.94 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4706
6.81***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1022
34.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9872
478.30***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

7.9438
6.31***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

54 days