V-Lab
T-REX 2x Long EOSE Daily Target ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
242.59%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
242.59%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
242.59%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 09:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 14, 2026 to Sep 18, 2026Hessian SE
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.53 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 17-day half-lifev = 4.53 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 233.5390 | 0.33 |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.9594 | 1.06 |
| νDF | 4.5334 | 0.21 |
0.959
Persistence17d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 233.5390 | 0.33 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9594 | 1.06 |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 4.5334 | 0.21 |
Persistence:
0.959
Half-life:
17 days
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