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V-Lab
V-Lab

T-REX 2x Long EOSE Daily Target ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

242.59%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

242.59%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

242.59%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 09:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of T-REX 2x Long EOSE Daily Target ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 14, 2026 to Sep 18, 2026
Hessian SE

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.53 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 17-day half-lifev = 4.53 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst233.5390
0.33
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9594
1.06
νDF4.5334
0.21

0.959

Persistence

17d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

233.5390
0.33
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9594
1.06
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.5334
0.21

Persistence:

0.959

Half-life:

17 days