V-Lab
T-REX 2x Long EOSE Daily Target ETF GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026
1 Day
325.07%
increased by 0.32%
1 Week
325.71%
increased by 0.96%
1 Month
328.10%
increased by 3.35%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 14, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.990, volatility shocks have a half-life of 69 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GARCH Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.990, shock half-life ~69 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 5.00*** |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.9901 | 20.97*** |
0.990
Persistence69d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 5.00*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9901 | 20.97*** |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
69 days
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