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V-Lab

T-REX 2x Long EOSE Daily Target ETF APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026

1 Day

304.45%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

304.45%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

304.45%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 17, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of T-REX 2x Long EOSE Daily Target ETF APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 14, 2026 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. The volatility power δ = 0.50 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7186
0.64
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8359
20.14***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

1.0000
0.07
δ

power

Transformation power

0.5000
0.78

Persistence:

0.836

Half-life:

4 days