Skip to main content
V-Lab

Portfolio Building Block Integrated Oil Gas Exploration & Production Index ETF APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026

1 Day

25.98%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

25.99%

increased by 0.01%

1 Month

26.00%

increased by 0.02%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 02:20 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Portfolio Building Block Integrated Oil Gas Exploration & Production Index ETF APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 25, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0823
5.04***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9679
54.80***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1541
0.00
δ

power

Transformation power

1.9060
4.35***

Persistence:

0.968

Half-life:

21 days