V-Lab
T-REX 2x Long EOSE Daily Target ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
91.38%
increased by 18.34%
1 Week
21,584,169,699.11%
increased by 21,584,169,626.07%
1 Month
819,477,882,556,936,400,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%
increased by 819,477,882,556,936,400,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 14, 2026 to Aug 14, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.63 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2403 | 110.88*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 35.87*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.3375 | 25.90*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.24 |
Persistence:
0.490
Half-life:
1 days
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