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V-Lab

T-REX 2x Long EOSE Daily Target ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

165.28%

decreased by 26.58%

1 Week

187.53%

decreased by 4.33%

1 Month

195.47%

increased by 3.61%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of T-REX 2x Long EOSE Daily Target ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 14, 2026 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5000
42.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5000
-41.66***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0549
0.06
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9320
1.29

Persistence:

0.250

Half-life:

1 days