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V-Lab

T-REX 2x Long EOSE Daily Target ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

155.18%

decreased by 65.50%

1 Week

145.92%

decreased by 74.76%

1 Month

136.96%

decreased by 83.72%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of T-REX 2x Long EOSE Daily Target ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 14, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.01
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3380
65.48***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
69.18***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0324
1.38
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9274
38.85***

Persistence:

0.588

Half-life:

1 days