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V-Lab

T-REX 2x Long EOSE Daily Target ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

207.28%

decreased by 4.61%

1 Week

213.27%

increased by 1.38%

1 Month

235.72%

increased by 23.83%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 09:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of T-REX 2x Long EOSE Daily Target ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 14, 2026 to Sep 18, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~1386294 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.21
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9266
46.32***
γleverage0.1468
0.89

1.000

Persistence

1386294d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9266
46.32***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1468
0.89

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days