AlphaDroid Defensive Sector Rotation ETF GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
28.08%
decreased by 1.57%
1 Week
27.82%
decreased by 1.83%
1 Month
27.06%
decreased by 2.59%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 02:19 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 16, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1384 | 6.22*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1650 | 9.59*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7809 | 36.28*** |
Persistence:
0.946
Half-life:
12 days
Other AlphaDroid Defensive Sector Rotation ETF Analyses
Other GARCH Analyses on ETFs