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V-Lab

AlphaDroid Defensive Sector Rotation ETF GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

28.08%

decreased by 1.57%

1 Week

27.82%

decreased by 1.83%

1 Month

27.06%

decreased by 2.59%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 02:19 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of AlphaDroid Defensive Sector Rotation ETF GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 16, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1384
6.22***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1650
9.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7809
36.28***

Persistence:

0.946

Half-life:

12 days