V-Lab
Franklin Ohio Municipal Income ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026
1 Day
5.34%
decreased by 2.82%
1 Week
4.43%
decreased by 3.73%
1 Month
4.16%
decreased by 4.00%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 10, 2025 to Sep 25, 2026𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0658 | 2.26** |
| αARCH | 0.2200 | 0.73 |
| βGARCH | 0.2157 | 0.47 |
| νDF | 4.2539 | 0.46 |
0.216
Persistence0d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0658 | 2.26** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2200 | 0.73 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2157 | 0.47 |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 4.2539 | 0.46 |
Persistence:
0.216
Half-life:
0 days
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