Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Franklin Ohio Municipal Income ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

8.07%

decreased by 0.08%

1 Week

7.94%

decreased by 0.21%

1 Month

7.48%

decreased by 0.67%

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:38 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Franklin Ohio Municipal Income ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 10, 2025 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.01 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 27-day half-lifev = 6.01 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run0.0988
0.79
αscore0.0832
1.22
βpersistence0.9751
27.97***
νDF6.0093
0.26

0.975

Persistence

27d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

0.0988
0.79
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.0832
1.22
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9751
27.97***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.0093
0.26

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

27 days