V-Lab
Franklin Ohio Municipal Income ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026
1 Day
4.92%
decreased by 0.02%
1 Week
4.33%
decreased by 0.61%
1 Month
3.82%
decreased by 1.12%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:48 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 10, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
The leverage effect is captured by the negative gamma (gamma = -0.3419), confirming that negative shocks increase volatility more than positive shocks of equal magnitude.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Asymmetry: Negative shocks have larger impact on volatility (leverage effect)
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | -0.8715 | -1.68* |
| αARCH | 0.1285 | 0.89 |
| βGARCH | 0.7058 | 2.51** |
| γleverage | -0.3419 | -2.27** |
0.706
Persistence2d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | -0.8715 | -1.68* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1285 | 0.89 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7058 | 2.51** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3419 | -2.27** |
Persistence:
0.706
Half-life:
2 days
Other Franklin Ohio Municipal Income ETF Analyses
Other EGARCH Analyses on ETFs