Skip to main content
V-Lab

Canary HBAR ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

1.45%

increased by 0.10%

1 Week

1.47%

increased by 0.12%

1 Month

1.54%

increased by 0.19%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 02:19 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Canary HBAR ETF EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 28, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 112 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Negative shocks have larger impact on volatility (leverage effect)

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

-0.0172
-1.62
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

-0.1457
-6.02***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9938
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1490
-4.53***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

112 days