V-Lab
Canary HBAR ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
75.09%
increased by 1.18%
1 Week
77.86%
increased by 3.95%
1 Month
92.75%
increased by 18.84%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 28, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Boundary Parameters
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0496 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.5676 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.4324 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.050
Half-life:
0 days
Other Canary HBAR ETF Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on ETFs