Skip to main content
V-Lab

Baron First Principles ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

22.05%

decreased by 0.12%

1 Week

19.82%

decreased by 2.35%

1 Month

16.19%

decreased by 5.98%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Baron First Principles ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 15, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0018
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0000
0.00
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.4831
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.002

Half-life:

0 days